Quote:
okay, i knew the damned thing was intensifying, but that 901mb is mind-blowing. very very tiny radius of maximum winds... i'm guessing that ERCs will help spread the areal coverage of hurricane winds out. in the meantime we've got a bizarre structure, with a super-hurricane nested inside what is essentially a big tropical storm. gotta wonder what the winds will be like when they catch up to the pressure fall... with that tight of an inner core. i don't expect this odd structure will last for long... it will broaden out and ease up to the realm of reality one way or another. like the nhc says, though.. forecast down the road remains unchanged. gotta go check the 00z models finally.. and finish this stupid paper. HF 0553z19october
...additionally, i'm thinking the intensity curve has some momentum and won't hault on a dime in this case... particularly because the sst's in the area area or so warm and the u/a mechanics are looking if anything, better this evening.... but, at 2am...it's too late for me to formulate a cogent hypothesis about anything...ugh...
|