Big Tk
(Weather Watcher)
Wed Oct 19 2005 06:11 AM
Re: Wilma Becomes Category 5 Hurricane

Take look at the new HPC ncep disscussion.

MODEL DIAGNOSTIC DISCUSSION
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD
153 AM EDT WED OCT 19 2005

...HRCN WILMA...

THE NAM VERY QUICKLY TRENDS SLOW AND LEFT OF OTHER GUIDANCE. THE
GFS IS LEFT OF THE OFFICIAL TPC FCST MOST OF THE PERIOD... AND IS
SLIGHTLY SLOWER. THE UKMET IS FARTHER LEFT THAN THE GFS. THE 12Z
ECMWF SPENDS MOST OF THE FCST PERIOD RIGHT OF THE TPC TRACK BUT IS
THE CLOSEST MODEL TO THE TPC F72 POSN. CANADIAN GLBL RUNS ARE
CONSISTENT WITH TRACKS THAT ARE EXCEPTIONALLY FAST/RIGHT OUTLIERS.
CONSULT LATEST DISCUSSIONS AND ADVISORIES FROM TPC FOR THE LATEST
INFO REGARDING HRCN WILMA.


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