Thunderbird12
(Meteorologist)
Wed Oct 19 2005 03:14 AM
Re: Wilma Becomes Category 4 Hurricane

The 06Z SHIPS actually indicates a little more weakening before landfall in FL than it had indicated in the last run, suggesting a landfall intensity of around 100 knots. It maxes out the intensity at 155 knots in 6 hours, in case anyone was interested in the gory details (that model guidance is basically useless in the short term considering the extremely unusual structure of Wilma right now).

The latest (00Z) GFDL track is further west, bringing the center over the extreme eastern Yucutan peninsula. It still indicates landfall at about the same location in Florida as before. It also indicates more of a northerly bend as the storm exits Florida, bringing the center not too far off the NC coast by 126 hours (the end of the forecast run).



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