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It would be funny if Wilma started weakening rapidly and saw the pressure jump back up to 930-940 mb in the next few hours. In that case, there will be people who have gone to bed when it was 954 mb and will wake up to an only somewhat lower pressure, even though it dropped all the way to 880-something during the night. That tiny inner core still seems to be hanging in there, though. Wilma is a freak of nature right now, but at some point it will probably turn into a more typical hurricane. The bottom line for Florida hasn't necessarily changed that much... the environmental conditions by that time could probably support a cat 3 storm, but anything stronger than that would be unlikely, unless Wilma is a very intense hurricane as it moves into the Gulf, which is not a guarantee for any number of reasons (eyewall replacements, land interactions, etc.) |