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Can someone confirm my reasoning. The more west this goes, the more likely it will be picked up by the front earlier than expected and the more weakening it will undergo before making landfall. On the other hand, the more northerly the track, the more likely it will have more strength when it makes landfall. I am not sure of the wesrt or north track will effect the location of landfall. I think that is more of a function of the location of the front and theh lattitude of Wilma at the time of interaction.

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A more accurate assumption would be frontal and upper air feature interaction ..... 2 Lows should be a player in the direction and intensity of the storm as it moves in the Gap and heads to the Straits.

Good reasoning but as always, dependent on how simple you want to view the forces involved.

BTW, noticed the ARWO on board .... not Warren, so no eloquent embellishments on the 'nature' of the storm.