| Hugh |
| (Senior Storm Chaser) |
| Wed Oct 19 2005 07:04 AM |
Re: Wilma, Category 5 and Breaking Records
|
Quote:
I'm not even going to try to speculate on the exact point of landfall, but let's assume it does landfall somwhere on the FL west coast, is any one else thinkin that it's not going to curve QUITE as sharply to the east as the models are predicting? I can see the NE turn but just not seeing how they're getting that sharp of an angle.
Thanks.
Hurricane Charley '04(Port Charlotte, FL)
Funny (not ha ha but ironic), I was just thinking the same thing. The "elbow" effect seems a bit unrealistic, but it is possible if the trough really moves in quickly - possible, but I don't think likely. A more realistic expectation is that there will be a gradual turn... the big question being when it begins and how far east it turns. A slower turn could ultimately mean MORE of a turn, because the trough will move in more. It's all a matter of angles.
ETA: Since the plane is no longer in Wilma (I read what said it was the "last report"), anyone know when we will get confirmation of the intensity? I assume the next plane is 3 hours away or so, based upon the POTD from yesterday. Even though its only for historical buffs, it would be interesting to get confirmation of the strongest hurricane on record.
ETA2: On the 1015 IR (can't see the 1045 yet)... the signature is SLIGHTLY weakened, in my opinion. I hope this means we have seen the peak.