Although the models haven't been great so far, the active SW jet forecast over the GOM makes the forecast (direction and intensity) much more plausible. (Scary yes, but way more predictable). Anyone remember Hurricane Floyd? ('99?) It was heading due west, towards Daytona. All forecasts predicted a sharp right turn. It wasn't happening, then as the center came within 40 miles of the coast, it turned on a dime.

Once the westerlies grab hold, I think we will see a more ragged, less tropical and rapidly weakening system. We've all been accused of wishcasting, but I would like to see a South-of-Marco landfall, giving the 'Glades a much needed October soaking.