Hugh
(Senior Storm Chaser)
Wed Oct 19 2005 11:50 AM
Re: Wilma Nears Category 5 Intensity

Quote:

Latest IR and WV frame in the loops is showing a weakening of the intensity right near the core on an east-west axis. Could be the prelude to a ERC.
This is one beast to keep an eye on (pun not intended).




They also show a rather significant jog - yes, I'm calling it a jog, but a significant one - to thw WSW. It could be that when the ERC finishes, we'll see the new eye form southwest of the old one. Or it could be that the current eye is moving out of the way so the new one can form in its old place. Nah, that would never happen. Then again, if you'd said in June that we'd have 3 cat 5 hurricanes this season, you would have been laughed at probably.

I just looked at WU"s historical plots. Nearly all major hurricanes in the vicinity of where Wilma now is ultimately hit the Florida peninsula.



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