Rasvar
(Weather Master)
Wed Oct 19 2005 08:09 AM
Re: Wilma Nears Category 5 Intensity

Still too early to tie down a landfall point. Would suggest keeping eyes open from the Keys to Tampa. My thought is that the windfield will expand prior to landfall. Cat 2 seems to be most likely with enough forward speed to maintain Cat 2 to high Cat 1 in a very rapid Charliesque transit of the state. This is not a Charlie, though. There should not be a very intense storm, however, the wind field will be much larger. I am still not sold that the trough and front will push in quite as fast as what is being forecast. Should start to have that clear up later today and tonight. By tomorrow night, unless Wilma does something odd, I think the forecast should be able to narrow a bit. Does not take a whole lot to cause a 80-150 mile error this far out. At least she won't be a monster when she gets to Florida.


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