abyrd
(Weather Hobbyist)
Wed Oct 19 2005 10:02 AM
Re: Wilma, Category 5 and Breaking Records

Quote:

The 06Z GFDL has winds dropping to 96 knots and then amping up to 103 knots at landfall. Given the cooler water off SWFL and the westerly shear is this realistic?



A common mistake in looking at the GFDL is those are not surface winds. The surface winds are 15-25 % lower than shown. That would make it approximately 83 knots at landfall just south of Fort Myers. The amazing thing about the GFDL is that it doesn't loose any power crossing the state and exiting between Melbourne and Vero at 84 knots!


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