debwire
(Registered User)
Wed Oct 19 2005 11:54 AM
Re: slight adjustment north at 11

I'm wondering the same thing. Maybe it's my imagination, though, but the models appear to have landfall occurring more north than previous, putting the Tampa Bay area more at risk. Even our strike probabilities have increased (and will continue to increase I suppose as Wilma gets closer to Florida)

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIASPFAT4+shtml/191439.shtml

Am I seeing this correctly? (Yes, I realize it's too early to tell, but the path doesn't appear to be as far south anymore).

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at4+shtml/145238.shtml?5day?large
and
http://www.skeetobiteweather.com/archive/model/AL242005mltsth.gif
and
http://hurricane.accuweather.com/hurrica...;imagetype=move



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