checking out the early runs of the NOGAPS and GFS,,,,,The Nogaps I cant get updated more then 72 hrs out,, but by then its near its 6z run maybe heading slightly more NE towards Sarasota, but hard to tell....GFS is out only 42 as of this,, it actually is much further west then its previous runs making a landfall just south of Cancun....I think this model is alittle slow but is correct in being more w towards Cancun, I think it might go just N though as its alittle too far south, time will tell and hopefully I can see more of the nogaps soon enough.