Let me ask you this - What makes you so positive about a Sarasota - Tampa landfall? You said you didnt want to guess, but you did anyway and you put me and my family in the middle of it. So now i ask you - back this up! What proof do you have to show a Sarasota - Tampa landfall and why hasn't the NHC picked up on this? Can you explain your theory? I am still thinking it will hit Ft. Myers or southward because at this time, the NHC says thats where it will go as well as the models that i have seen. The only model north of Ft. Myers is the ever unpopular, unreliable LBAR.