Margie
(Senior Storm Chaser)
Wed Oct 19 2005 01:55 PM
Re: Here we go!

Quote:

any mods around .. so we can get a new thread started ? =D




I already asked a half hour ago! No such luck.

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Wilma's track has consistently been keeping her just to the west of the warmest waters according to the HHCmap...which obviously doesn't seem to matter as she has plenty of heat content.

But if she stays on track, and even if she goes along a track that is a little more westward, once she gets above 19N there is going to be some warmer deep water. If she stalls there, east of the Yucatan, she'll likely just keep cycling at Cat 5 level, steady state like she's doing right now, and even possibly setting another record, depending on when and if an ERC occurs (we've been expecting the small eye to implode practically from the first moment, but here it is going on 13 hours and still clearly visible on wv image; we don't understand it, but she has been steady state).

If she ramps down in intensity, expect her to come back up again once over this area.

* * * * * * *

I think recon is close. Guess they'll be using 700mb this time!



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