| typhoon_tip |
| (Meteorologist) |
| Wed Oct 19 2005 03:16 PM |
Re: Wilma Continued (Nervous Traveler)
|
Quote:
This is going to sound like a totally irrelevant question to all of you living in Florida, and for that I apologize in advance. I live in the State of Washington and my family and I are scheduled to fly in to Orlando at 5pm on this coming Monday night to start our vacation (we love Florida and we're going to the parks for a week in Orlando and then heading out to Port Canavaral for a cruise to the Eastern Caribbean leaving on Saturday the 29th). We have absolutely no hurricane experience and were wondering if we should consider cancelling our plans in the Orlando area if the hurricane looks to go through that area over the weekend (or later)?? Our thoughts and prayers are with everybody in Florida and I know these questions are trivial compared to trying to make plans regarding Wilma where you live. Any thoughts anyone has would be greatly appreciated.
Hello,
Ah - your plans will be dictated by Wilma, no doubt. To what extent, don't cancel any plans just yet; just be aware that there is still a strong likelihood that the area will suffer an impact. You're just going to have to watch the bulletins and keep tuned in; take it day by day.. Believe me, one way or the other you will know if you pay attention.
FYY: There was nicely converging guidnace prior to this morning's output by the models, and this is throwing a thorn in cushy seat of optimism we had been gathering since this time yesterday. Traditionally, when the model do something very off pattern and erratic all at once the output is considered dubious. More times than not the next run will be similar to the more consistent appeal of the priors...
Cannot at this time ascertain whether that 'will' be the case this time.. But, sufficed to say, Orlando area is still no where near out of risk!