Thunderbird12
(Meteorologist)
Wed Oct 19 2005 09:02 PM
Re: Wilma Continued

Wilma has ceased its wobbling and basically come to a dead stop in the last hour, which could be indicative of the organizational changes it seems to be attempting. The satellite presentation has stablized for the time being, after getting worse for awhile. It's still hanging in there as a cat 5 storm for now. Looks like the intensity forecast weakens it in the short term to 135 knots, then brings it back up to 145 knotsby 24-36 hours, before more steady weakening is forecast until landfall. Obviously, the intensity forecast has taken somewhat of a backseat to the track forecast for the time being.

The latest advisory indicates that hurricane force winds are now up to 60 miles from the center. Based on the recon data, that may be a little misleading... that is more due to the outer wind maximum becoming more intense. Between the inner eyewall and the outer wind max, hurricane-force winds may not be present.



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