JG
(Weather Hobbyist)
Wed Oct 19 2005 07:27 PM
Re: Wilma Continued

Quote:

They use whatever data they have available while maintaining the data density as feasible. It's not radiosonde launches that kill it, it's the satellite obs -- thousands per model run, largely over the poles, that they can't use. Ten radiosonde obs don't make a large difference; much of the other data are used in normal times as well. This comes from discussions with people at NCEP.

The other suggests that the airplane dropsondes were not input into the model, perhaps because there weren't any around/just prior to 12z or perhaps because of a data ingest issue. Not sure on that one, though.




So should I give less credence to those runs and await the 0000Z or 0600Z to see which are more inclusive of all of the data to get a better picture of the storm track?



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