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Remember that the 5pm update included points moved west to accomodate the GFDL and points further south for the same reason. They were placed where they were to be close enough to still verify well for the next 24 hours until the "bubble" of uncertainty had passed. Therefore, I'd expect that as Wilma approached the first of these points, she would be where expected at 11am, or North and East of these points (or at least East since she has slowed somewhat). |