Quote:
Is it really a strong trough or not? I thought it missed it? H-ll- im totally confused now. Is the thing moving north or not?
The trough is still over the great plains moving east. This trough and ULL will break down the ridge over the western GOM allowing Wilma to move more NW and eventually north over the next 48 hours. Wilma has moved to the NW over the last 5 hours or so & appears to be following most model projections aiming for a passage near the NE tip of the YUC Pen. No real change in the synoptic features - of course timing is everything but I don't see anything to change the projected landfall somewhere from Tampa to the Keys on late SAT or Sun.
http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/satellit...amp;duration=10
|