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The GFDL is back into realism again:
http://www.sfwmd.gov/org/omd/ops/weather/plots/storm_24.gif
Yes but the last run before the outlier had it going to Sanibel/Charlotte Harbor. Now it's over Flamingo. Big difference for those of us in SWFL.
...True, but Wima will be unusually large and potent at unusual distances from her core by the time she gets to the latitude of say Miami... At that point, she may very well have doubled the surface area affected by both her tropical storm force wind field, as well as her hurricane force windfield.. And, at 130mph she will likely be able to a considerable amount of damage in a very wide swath.
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