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6z GFS now keeps her offshore the Yucatan, has her hit SW Florida near Naples and exits her just east of Lake Okeechobee near Stuart. I believe this is a slight shift north for the GFS. The key here is she's a bit slower, even moving offshore Florida. Also, the fact that it keeps her off the peninsula of the Yucatan could allow her to retain her strong structure. Avila alluded to her possibly not making landfall in his discussion ("heading toward the Yucatan.....for now"). Still pretty darned interesting. Cheers!!
I think we need to be consider the GFS of course but we have not seen real consistency for the last 18 hours so i think we need a two more runs of a consistent solution with regards to the american model, That said, i really like waht NHC has been doing since the wacky GFS run which is keep the ideathey ad with subtle changes. Very interesting day ahead with the gfs and gfdl. other models have not had such big differences.
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Re: Changes