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They are looking at the 6z runs showing a slight more N movement once it gets into the gulf..plus thinking further west now means the turn will be further N then.... My thinking is still the same,,,,, 1 it doesnt stall over the Yucitan,,makes it alittle N of there and moves NE towards Sarasota......or it does stall and is far enough south that is gets the tail end of the trough and moves E or ENE across N coast of Cuba and brushing the Keys and Miami and towards Nassau.
Its 1 of those 2 things,,and we will know watching what happens now thru Saturday.
Thanks Scott... my guts (which is not a very scientific method) tells me your scenerio 2 is what we will be talking about tomorrow
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