doug
(Weather Analyst)
Thu Oct 20 2005 03:42 PM
Re: Wilma

This is consistent with the 6Z NOGAPS Which had the storm off the central West Coast in 96 (now 90) hrs...Monday! The 12Z NOGAPS does not define beyond 72 hrs but has the center off the Yucatan coast about 50 mile south of the 6Z run arguably only further delaying the exit...
Bastardi today argues the disruption to the storm may be to the core and suggests the interference with the core may never fully recover because of the interference from the trough..I.E. a more boraclinically oriented system...still a hurricane but no killer center...All this is very interesting and certainly not contemplated until late yesterday..



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