Not necessarily. Hurricane location is not the result of a coin flip or toss of the dice. Hurricanes are dynamic systems. And while it is a challenge to predict future locations with certainty, you can predict future location with some degree of confidence. Because even dynamic systems have parameters that confine the system within boundaries....a bathtub drain is a good example. Or my driveway. When I wash my car I'm pretty confident the water isnt going to flow into my garage or my neighbor's garage but I'm not always confident the water will flow into the street gutter. The other thing is climate. Storms tend to collide with southwest Florida this time of year. Not always, but much of the time.