NorEaster
(Registered User)
Thu Oct 20 2005 02:42 PM
Re: Nearing the End of the ERC?

I'm calling the ball, it looks like the end of the ERC.

http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/goeseastconusir.html

Shortwave data also supports this...

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/FLOAT/IR2/20.jpg

Looks like Wilma has another short compact eye. This isn't a suprise since NHC has been discussing re-strengthening all day today. Now I forsee a short period of re-strengthening shortly followed by the circulation center becoming too close to land and that "hoover vacuum" mechanism these monster storms have will suck in the dry air from the Yukitan, and will be the beginning of the end for Wilma.

As far as the track goes, is it slowing down b/c its turning, and will it turn fast enough for Cancun? Reminds me of a freight train trying to slam on the breaks and turn at the same time. Nothing that big can turn on a dime, and the laws of physics (inertia) tells us that it may be too late for those in Cancun.



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