| typhoon_tip |
| (Meteorologist) |
| Thu Oct 20 2005 11:51 PM |
Re: From Scottsvb
|
Quote:
Evening all, went out around 5pm, went to dinner with the wife and kids and came back and Tampa now looks to be significantly back in the cone of errrrrrr. Without me reading through a bunch of posts could someone give me a quick rundown on what or how this has happened, CHEERS
..Basically, a substantial amount of time along Wilma's recent course has been right of the 12z and 18z guidance, making it highly skeptical that she will a) spend enough time over the Yucatan to weaken substantially, and b) requires that her spatial change be conserved down the line, giving rise to the necessity for a course correction - which is to say a quicker (potential) enter into the westerlies and therefore a slightly different approach to the Florida Penisula...
...However, HPC goes out of their way to say this is a minimal confidence result... unfortunately!