(Weather Hobbyist)
Fri Oct 21 2005 11:38 AM
Re: 5 a.m.

There seems to be a lot of discussion about how slow Wilma is moving and that the models have it almost stalling out. It appears to me to be moving fairly steadily (albeit not that fast) based on the radar loop and satellite loops. If you look at the position as of 4:00CDT and the position at 10:00PM CDT just taking into consideration the northward component (too early for real math) it has moved around 40 Nautical miles in 6 hours, or between 6 and 7 MPH; which confirms NOAA's 6 MPH.

Personally, it appears from the angle and speed from the loops that the eye may be just off Cozumel by this evening; which appears different than the models or the 3 day TPC Graphic.

As a Newbie poster (longtime lurker) I was wondering what indications people see that it reallly is slowing down/stalling out as the models and others are saying; and for that matter where are the indications that it will start to head into the tip of the Yucatan.


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