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If I was anywhere from Tampa to the Keys, I'd be getting things ready for a possible Cat 3 Monday night/Tuesday. GFS at 12Z shows Cat 3 not that far south of Tampa and deeper than the 6Z. This after sitting on land on the NE Yucatan for 48 hours.
If it sits on land for that long it's hard to imagine it could get back to a CAT 3 with the westerlies ripping at it, the likely dry air instrusion, and the cooler Gulf temps. How accurate is the GFS in terms of intensity?
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