Colleen A.
(Moderator)
Fri Oct 21 2005 06:24 PM
Re: Wilma Approaching the Yucatan Peninsula

If Wilma does not make an extensive westerly move over land, there will more than likely be some weakening, but not as much as if it was going to cross like they previously thought. Wilma has definitely going on a more NW/NNW path for the past several hours. IF she does not go over the tip of the Yucatan, you can throw that model right out the window. I think those models are based on information put in several hours prior to being spit out.
We have one choice at this point: to just watch and see what Wilma does as she moves towards Cancun. Right now, I'm leaning towards her maybe just brushing the coast near Cancun because of the more northerly component we have seen in the last several hours. Just as it looks like she is going more west, it seems to correct itself and head more nw/nnw. That's the best news Cancun good get.

To the poster who said TWC no longer has Tampa in the cone, that is not correct. I would look at the NHC's cone, not the TWC's.



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