Thunderbird12
(Meteorologist)
Fri Oct 21 2005 04:36 PM
Re: Wilma Approaching the Yucatan Peninsula

The last vortex message indicates a little more movement NW than is apparent from satellite, though again, with the movement so slow, the error in pinpointing the exact center comes into play when diagnosing the motion. Whatever motion there is still seems to be to the NW for now.

A recent dropsonde in the NNW eyewall reported surface winds of 127 kts. It'll be interesting to see what NHC pegs as the intensity, since the dropsondes suggest stronger winds than what the flight-level winds would suggest. Also, the near stall has occurred at a bad time for NHC, even if it is temporary, since it comes as they are about to issue a new advisory and this just throws more uncertainty into the mix.



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