collegemom
(Weather Hobbyist)
Sat Oct 22 2005 12:10 AM
Re: Looks like a stall

Quote:

Quote:

A little more on that cold front: East CONUS WV loop
Will it dig as far south as they think? Or is that the one that is expected to miss Wilma and another will come along behind it?




I just don't see how that front is going to push Wilma EAST as far as they say. The orientation of the front and the position of it just doesn't make sense for that kind of trajectory IMHO. Now, there are two more troughs behind that one I think, and the THIRD one is the one they expect to move the storm out... but it too is oriented wrong for that in my opinion. I still expect a landfall further north in Florida than the forecast, unfortunately.

Edit: Punta Gorda sounds about right... and we know what happened last year when Charlie got near Punta Gorda.



OK ok cool jet stream might be a factor. We're talking more massive radii here. I see a bit of topography and cooler waters in the gulf. I just don't see an abrupt turn. North hanging then NNE.



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