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It doesn't look as though it has turned. It may have stalled, or be creeping north. The eye contracting is also throwing the sense of movement off. We need to watch it longer to get a real sense of what it's doing. If it does keep the current movement(I think its barely moving north), then it looks like it may aviod landfall and could stay a cat 3 or even a minimal cat 4. Now it wont maintain that in its turn across the gulf, but a cat 3 isn't out of the picture if it stays off land. |