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I know the tendancy is for everyone to jump on the apparant northerly motion, and the models. But I'm not convinced. REally until the storm enters the Gulf, conjecture anywhere along the coast probably belongs in the forecast lounge. but I'm thinking that it will still make landfall on the mainland of the Yucatan, and likely stall out over that part. To think otherwise would require a few hours of trends rather than a disrupted eyewall and wobbles. So it's a bit early to claim it will miss the Yucatan. (I don't believe it will miss) |