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It seems there has been a lot of staring at the radar and satellite images and speculating about the various wobbles that we usually have on the boards, but once again I am siding with the folks looking at the big picture -- I think we can all agree that NHC is correct in slowing the motion of Wilma down and regardless of whether the eye is over the Yucatan or not this will result in weakening as more of the heat is extracted from the same sea surfaces and the Western part of the storm is over land Then we wait -- as has been pointed out by many over and over this season -- remember Ophelia with all the starts and stops -- when the storms aren't moving prediction of timing and track is the least accurate. When the storm moves far enough N to be picked up by the westerlies we will have a much better idea of exactly which portion of the W Florida coast will be under the gun. 'Til then everyone should be getting ready to deal with the worst without a lot of panic |