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2 points to think about future track -- 1) As several recent posts have noted with just a tiny change in direction and change in speed of only 1 or 2 mph wilmas stay oveer the Yucatan could go from 6 or 7 hours to 17 or 18 --- that can translate into dramatic differences in storm strength in GOM. In terms of track - a stronger storm is more likely to push more N 2) The time and point the storm kind of re-initializes in the GOM will be very interesting because that right now is roughly the boundary of W steering flow --- and again small changes in the near future can translate to many miles down the road at US landfall |