Thunderbird12
(Meteorologist)
Sat Oct 22 2005 06:37 AM
Re: StormCarib Update

Radar indicates that the inner eyewall has taken on an elliptical shape. That could add to some complexity to the already erratic motion. The center of circulation does not seem to have moved much in the last few frames. The satellite presentation is degrading as you would expect, though weakening could be rather slow for awhile as part of the circulation remains over water.

Ironically, the 00Z GFDL has shifted further right in the short term, just bringing the center over the far NE tip of the Yucatan and back over water in about 18 hours, but the center of Wilma has already moved a little further inland than what the 00Z GFDL indicated. Long-term, the 00Z GFDL brings the center over Florida near Fort Myers between 54-60 hours.



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