the longer the hurricane stays hung up, the later it hits florida and the weaker. if the hurricane is off the yucatan by sundown today, it'll probably come in earlier and stronger. if it's still over land by then, probably weaker and late in the day on monday. target zone is still fort myers, don't buy the keys or florida straits.
that pesky little 99L feature south of puerto rico has a better radar signature than earlier, but still not a definite closed circulation. with wilma where it is it won't get priority recon, so info won't be as good. should move across hispaniola in 30-44 hours or so, which will probably kill anything that might have formed. be surprised if it can survive that trek.
HF 0854z22october