JMII
(Weather Master)
Sat Oct 22 2005 09:54 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Alpha Forms in the Eastern Caribbean. Hurricane Watches Up For Florida

With they eye so wide right now (70nm?!?) how can anyone be sure what direction she is going. It could be a wobble or just part of the reintensification. I'd bet the eye jumps around alot tonight, keep in mind the back quarter of the storm is still over land. If you run the water vapor loop with the forecast points and lat/lon overlays it looks to be on target to me.

Link: http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/float-wv-loop.html



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