The New graphic for the 3 Day Cone is up.
Unless they have moved Tampa, FL since 4PM.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT24/AL2405W.gif

Tampa is still in the Northern side of the CONE.
Just barely...but it's inside the cone.

The Watches and Warnings will give you some kind of idea what to expect.
Allthough, having been through Katrina. The Inland Hurricane Watch and Warning really didn't justify her damage here. The Tornado warning that was issued just prior to Katrina's Eyewall arriving, got more attention and was more relative to the damage.