TO try and steer away from the Accuweather flame war potential, I'll disclaim the folowing.

JB called almost every storm in the GOM this year a potential NO event. To give him credit for Katrina (when the impact wasn't NO) is like giving a stopped clock credit for being right twice a day.

I'm not saying the man is not intelligent. I will say, however, that the NHC's guidance has a far better track record than that from the folks at Accuweather. This is my personal opinion and no way reflects the views of the CFHC. In short, go with the NHC and National Weather Service. If they issue warnings, you would do well to heed those warnings.