typhoon_tip
(Meteorologist)
Sun Oct 23 2005 08:07 PM
Re: Wilma Moving Rapidly Toward Florida

Quote:

just to confirm our posts:

HURRICANE WILMA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 34A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
8 PM EDT SUN OCT 23 2005
... WILMA GETTING BETTER ORGANIZED AND STRENGTHENING AS IT
GRADUALLY ACCELERATES NORTHEASTWARD TOWARD FLORIDA...
...TROPICAL STORM-FORCE WINDS IMPACTING WESTERN CUBA AND
APPROACHING THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS...

here we go at 9:00pm

REPEATING THE 8 PM EDT POSITION...23.9 N... 84.4 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 15 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...110 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 958 MB.
HOURLY TROPICAL CYCLONE POSITION ESTIMATES WILL BE ISSUED BEGINNING
AT 9 PM EDT . THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 PM EDT.
FORECASTER STEWART




right, not surprising...and now we see the -80 sinister black toned cloud tops of utter terror returning to an attempt at a cdo...

it's likely to me that this will in the process of deepening fairly quickly for the next several hours, just as we said - which is somewhat unusual climatologically for hurricanes moving NE in this area of the Gulf, quite frankly, but that's a whole angle i don't want to get into now..

nonetheless, i feel fairly confident that this will be the case because of wilma's unique orientation with respect to her own motion - within the flow and thus relatively less shear; and, availing of a very intense polarward outflow channel associated with the enterance region of jet fields NW of the stationary/quasi-stationary boundary.