typhoon_tip
(Meteorologist)
Sun Oct 23 2005 08:12 PM
Re: Shear

Quote:

If this storm really decides to get it's act together. will there be a change in direction?




Not likely... Wilma is caught up in the deep layer winds associated with veering and a large negative anomaly in the Ohio Valley (deep trough).... In fact, the only change will make is determined on the orientation of the isoheights she's locked in; they may actually orient more S to N post Florida visit, which would mean a smooth curve N up the coast... But, that will be subtle and registered over longer time lengths... You won't have to worry "as much" about short duration abrupty changes and large wobbles in her track. for lack of better words - locked into governing synoptics of said trough and how it is mass-balanced against ridges.



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