Joshua
(Weather Watcher)
Sun Oct 23 2005 09:28 PM
Re: Extrapolated Track

Quote:

Quote:

Quote:



Absolutely...And, I think when this completes we may have bigger problems then cat 2!




So there it is. I can't wait to see the vortex messages close to 2300. I think we could be looking at another Charley situation with an intensifying storm hitting between Bonita Springs and Fort Myers. The second cold front and the "dry air" and the "shear" does not seem to be intimidating Wilma one iota.




Exactly.... I've been trying to hammer this point, that she will be less adversely touched by these detriments because she is caught up in an in situ environment that is moving along with her - that is by definition storm relative shear, which in this case is exceptionally low in value... In otherwords, I see quite the alternative, pure, almost unmitigated strengthening potential right up to landfall - which is very, very ungood




This is exactly why I tried to post and tell people to prepare for +1 category from the NHC track. In fact, I did that this morning. So, there really is no excuse why people should not be prepared for a major hurricane (except, of course, for being stubborn and relying too much on a past hurricane's performance)



Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources. 
CFHC's main servers are currently located at Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well. Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center