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Landfall continues right on NHC path..maybe slightly N of there near Bonita Springs.....I see no reason to disagree with a landfall between Ft Myers and Naples....36hrs ago I posted a premature forecast saying it would probably be Sarasota-Charlotte counties maybe a tad N or S of there...but given the drift E off the coast and never going N (like a couple models showed) this brings the center further down the coast by 50miles....Any jog to the N will be a Sanible Island landfall and any jog to the south would bring it over the Everglades.......since this does have a large circulation...Hurricane forces winds will be from Sarasota county south to near the keys. Also the east coast from N or Miami-Vero Beach. TS winds will be from Pasco County-Daytona......... Expect many tornados throughout the state tonight into the morning hours,,,especially in the hurricane warning area and south florida into the afternoon on monday........ This will be my last update on Wilma./ scottsvb |