Thunderbird12
(Meteorologist)
Mon Oct 24 2005 02:49 PM
Re: New warning?

I don't mean to give NHC any grief about it... trying to estimate the maximum sustained wind in a hurricane is an inexact science as it is and there were no planes in the storm during the time it was over land. Any cat 3 winds over the peninsula likely would have occurred in unpopulated areas of the Everglades. I don't think it is any stronger now than it was when it emerged into the Atlantic. It will be interesting to see how long it lasts as a tropical cyclone... the eye is ragged, but the convective pattern still does not show signs of being excessively sheared. It is interesting that the deepest convection has consistently been on the south and west sides of the system since last evening... you might expect the opposite considering that the storm is getting sheared from that direction.


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