Mon Oct 24 2005 11:47 PM
Re: Gravity Wave

Wilma still hanging in there, I see. It's bizarre to see a cat 3 hurricane with a forward speed of 47 mph. It still doesn't seem to be affected by that much shear, based on the outflow pattern. It might be even stronger if not for the cool air that it has likely been ingesting into the circulation. Water temps will get progressively cooler in its path, but I think that around 40N is when it hits the really cold water and the laws of physics will finally put an end to its days as a tropical cyclone.

The vort max formally known as Alpha still has a small ball of relatively deep convection in its vicinity (NE of Wilma) and a skeletal feeder band, but between the circulation of Wilma and its own forward speed, it has almost no chance to maintain any sort of northerly wind on its west side to close off a surface circulation. There are probably some tropical storm force winds in its vicinity, though.

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