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The shear is very visible on IR, but it's still maintaining very deep convection reguardless of the shear. I wonder how development will go? Interesting what GFDL is doing - bringing this system to a major hurricane in about 3.5-4 days. Note that the NHC mentions that the GFDL tends to overdevelop systems in shear...and recall that the GFDL is also known for a lot of oscilation in the forcast intensity before the system defines itself well. |