Random Chaos
(Weather Analyst)
Mon Nov 14 2005 07:36 AM
Re: TD 27 Active in the SE Caribbean--here we go

The shear is very visible on IR, but it's still maintaining very deep convection reguardless of the shear. I wonder how development will go?

Interesting what GFDL is doing - bringing this system to a major hurricane in about 3.5-4 days. Note that the NHC mentions that the GFDL tends to overdevelop systems in shear...and recall that the GFDL is also known for a lot of oscilation in the forcast intensity before the system defines itself well.


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