Thunderbird12
(Meteorologist)
Fri Nov 18 2005 11:06 AM
Re: nothing yet, but it ain't over

The 06Z GFDL is certainly, um, interesting with a 928mb hybrid system making landfall in Nova Scotia in 120 hours. I'll believe something like that when I see it. Anything that does develop certainly could end up getting baroclinically enhanced ahead of the next strong system diving into the SE.

It figures that there would be a system in the NW Caribbean now, the one window of opportunity in the upper-level pattern in at least the next week for a tropical system to possibly move as far north as Florida. If 27L did not get sling-shotted to the NW around 93L, there probably wouldn't be anything this far north to begin with. However, anything that develops still may end up moving south of the Florida peninsula, or else get hung up over the Yucutan, so no reason to be overly concerned in Florida yet.

Buoy 42056 has been reporting 1-minute sustained winds of around 30 knots, so this is definitely a T.D. and close to becoming Gamma if in fact they find a well-defined low pressure center down there.



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