I was wondering if anyone has any comments or insight on the latest model runs on http://moe.met.fsu.edu/tcgengifs/. Specifically the GFS and UKMET models which spin off another low from Delta that looks like it has a more westerly track to start off. Any idea of the likelihood of this scenario? Since I've been storm trooping I haven't followed model runs this year very closely and don't know which ones are proving to be the most reliable in given situations. All I know is the GFDL appears to have done the best with Katrina, Rita, and Wilma (at least from what I could tell) and it doesn't spawn a potential Epsilon (or Zeta if Epsilon forms in the carribean later in the week - hard to believe this year's made it this far in the Greek Alphabet). Just a point of curiosity...