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well, if anything is on the way it will have come and gone long before santa gets here. maybe fifty fifty. the models are showing something that sure looks like a hybrid tropical cyclone, but it won't have the staying power that epsilon did... and will be evolving over a slightly cooler-water environment as well. i think that if anything comes up it'll more likely be subtropical. eh, probably more likely the nhc will shrug it off unless it develops a clear tropical profile. give it the ol' delta treatment. HF 0436z10december |